Lighthouse Macro

Lighthouse Macro

The Reflexive Bid

Why Duration Mismatch Is Becoming the Treasury Buyer

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Bob Sheehan, CFA, CMT's avatar
Lighthouse Macro and Bob Sheehan, CFA, CMT
Jan 24, 2026
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The macro herd is obsessed with “SVB 2.0” and duration mismatch risk. Banks sitting on unrealized losses. Long-dated securities underwater. The narrative writes itself.

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