Lighthouse Macro

Lighthouse Macro

From Foundations to Fault Lines — Part III

Seemingly Stable, Systemically Stressed

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Lighthouse Macro
Sep 15, 2025
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Earlier in this series:

  • Part I: Cracks in the Foundations

  • Part II: Collateral Fragility

  • Part III: Seemingly Stable, Systemically Stressed

Over the past year the U.S. Treasury market has presented a curious dichotomy. On the surface the plumbing—funding markets, bill auctions and short‑term instruments—has been placid. Bills trade rich to overnight funding, …

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