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The Beam | Treasury Buybacks & The Mechanical Basis Squeeze

When Predictable Plumbing Becomes Profitable Signal

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Lighthouse Macro
Oct 10, 2025
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Macro Research That Keeps the Light On

When Predictable Plumbing Becomes Profitable Signal

The Mechanical Architecture

Treasury buyback operations represent one of the last genuinely predictable microstructure arbitrages in global fixed income markets. Each bi-weekly operation creates a mechanical compression event where off-the-run (OFR) securities conver…

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